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First name
Olivier
Last name
Bargain
    Description
    Scientific peer-reviewed publication
    Description/abstract

    While degraded trust and cohesion within a country are often shown to have large socio-economic impacts, they can also have dramatic consequences when compliance is required for collective survival. We illustrate this point in the context of the COVID-19 crisis. Policy responses all over the world aim to reduce social interaction and limit contagion. Using data on human mobility and political trust at regional level in Europe, we examine whether the compliance to these containment policies depends on the level of trust in policy makers prior to the crisis. Using a double difference approach around the time of lockdown announcements, we find that high-trust regions decrease their mobility related to non-necessary activities significantly more than low-trust regions. We also exploit country and time variation in treatment using the daily strictness of national policies. The efficiency of policy stringency in terms of mobility reduction significantly increases with trust. The trust effect is nonlinear and increases with the degree of stringency. We assess how the impact of trust on mobility potentially translates in terms of mortality growth rate.

    Publication Language
    English
    Free Keywords
    Policy measures
    Topics
    Health status » Morbidity/disability » Communicable diseases » Covid-19;
    Policy » Adherence/ compliance to measure
    ISSN Number
    0047-2727
    Access rights to the publication
    Closed access
    Country(ies)
    International
    Journal
    Journal of Public Economics
    Publisher
    Elsevier BV
    Year of Publication
    2020
    Volume
    192
    Pages
    104316
    Corresponding author
    Olivier Bargain
    Contact e-mail
    olivier.bargain@u-bordeaux.fr
    Contact info (address)

    LAREFI, Bordeaux University, 16 rue Léon Duguit, Pessac, France.